The Alivox Rocket

Alivox on Europe

I consider myself a Europeanist; I would like to see Europe get its act together, prosper, and play a constructive role in the world. But I'm pessimistic about the motivation of Europeans to address seriously the issues they face. To me, they seem far more determined to hold on to as much as they can of their past wealth, importance and glory than to move forward to a glorious future.

This page is written as a program to get Europe out of its rut.

The Present

Scope of Europe

The common geographical definition of Europe includes everything attached to Asia west of the Urals, plus nearby islands. The eastern border runs along the ridge of the Ural mountains, placing the Pechora and Volga basins on the European side. In the southeast, the ridge of the Caucasus mountains leaves Georgia and Azerbaijan outside of Europe, while the Bosporus and Dardanelles form the border within Turkey.

European islands include the archipelagos of Novaya Zemlya, Franz-Josef Land, Svalbard, Jan Mayen, Iceland (but not Greenland), the Faroes, Shetlands, Orkneys, Hebrides, Azores, Madeira, Canaries and almost all the islands of the Mediterranean (but not, for example, Djerba). In some cases, the justification for inclusion of an archipelago in Europe is more historical than geographical.

Historically, Christian Europe is inseparable from the Muslim side of the Mediterranean, from Morocco to Turkey: those lands were once Christian, and Pagan before that, and they share the same history, from classical Hellenistic culture to Abrahamic religion (which both have spread much further). Having said that, Europe is basically the Christian side of the ancient Roman world.

It should go without saying that territories outside of Europe do not become part of Europe as a result of political possession by a European nation: this category includes 12 British Overseas Territories, 11 French DOM/COM/TOMs, Spanish Ceuta and Melilla, Antarctica, and of course all of Russia east of the Urals. Likewise, Turkish possession of territory west of the Bosporus and the northern half of Cyprus do not remove them from Europe.

Current Political Divisions: Nations

Currently, Europe is divided into 53 nations. That count includes a united Cyprus. It also includes both Russia and Turkey, even though both nations extend well beyond Europe. The tables below include only their European populations and proportional fractions of their GDPs.

Eleven of the nations on this list are microstates:

Code English Name Population (k)
je Jersey 87
im Isle of Man 79
ad Andorra 75
gg Guernsey 62
fo Faroes 49
li Liechtenstein 35
mc Monaco 33
sm San Marino 31
gi Gibraltar 29
ax Åland 27
va Vatican 1
Total 508

Here are the other 42 nations, sorted by population:

Code English Name Population
(millions)
GDP
(US$ billions)
per capita
(US$ thousands)
Life Expectancy
(years)
Median Age
(years)
ruEuropean Russia 103.0 1152 11.2 65.5 37.3
deGermany 82.6 2605 31.5 79.4 42.1
frFrance 61.6 1900 30.8 80.7 38.9
gbGreat Britain 60.8 1912 31.5 79.4 38.9
itItaly 58.9 1727 29.3 80.5 42.0
uaUkraine 46.2 364 7.9 67.9 38.9
esSpain 44.3 1145 25.9 80.9 38.8
plPoland 38.1 526 13.8 75.6 36.8
roRomania 21.4 204 9.5 72.5 36.7
nlNetherlands 16.4 524 31.9 79.8 39.1
grGreece 11.1 261 23.4 79.5 40.1
ptPortugal 10.6 210 19.8 78.1 39.1
beBelgium 10.5 338 32.3 79.4 40.3
czCzech Republic 10.2 199 19.5 76.5 38.9
huHungary 10.0 180 17.9 73.3 38.7
rsSerbia 7.7 40 5.2 74.0 36.6
byBelarus 9.7 80 8.3 69.0 37.4
trEuropean Turkey 9.3 76 8.2 71.8 26.7
seSweden 9.1 284 31.1 80.9 40.2
atAustria 8.4 287 34.3 79.8 40.1
bgBulgaria 7.6 77 10.1 73.0 40.8
chSwitzerland 7.5 246 32.9 81.7 40.1
dkDenmark 5.4 196 36.0 78.3 39.5
skSlovakia 5.4 93 17.3 74.7 35.6
fiFinland 5.3 172 32.6 79.3 40.9
noNorway 4.7 207 44.1 80.2 38.0
hrCroatia 4.6 58 12.7 75.7 40.6
ieIreland 4.3 180 41.9 78.9 33.4
baBosnia 3.9 26 6.6 74.9 37.1
mdMoldova 3.8 9 2.4 68.9 32.5
ltLithuania 3.4 53 15.6 73.0 37.9
alAlbania 3.2 18 5.6 76.4 28.6
lvLatvia 2.3 32 14.1 72.7 39.3
isKosovo 2.2 11 36.5 81.8 34.2
mkMacedonia 2.0 17 8.3 74.2 34.3
siSlovenia 2.0 46 23.0 77.9 40.2
eeEstonia 1.3 24 18.0 71.4 38.9
cyCyprus 0.9 19 22.2 79.0 35.3
meMontenegro 0.6 11 18.4 74.5 35.1
luLuxembourg 0.5 33 70.7 78.7 38.3
mtMalta 0.4 8 19.7 79.4 37.6
isIceland 0.3 11 36.5 81.8 34.2
euTotal 702 15561 22.1 75.8 38.9
Source: United Nations, 2006/2007 data
Kosovo's figures are, except for population, Serbia's
GDP is from the IMF, calculated according to Purchasing Power Parity

For comparison:

Code English Name Population GDP per capita Life Exp. Median Age
ruAll Russia 142.5 1576 11.1 65.5 37.3
trAll Turkey 74.9 610 5.8 71.8 26.7
geGeorgia 4.4 16 3.6 71.0 35.5
amArmenia 3.0 13 4.3 72.0 31.7
azAzerbaijan 8.5 31 3.6 67.5 27.7
usUSA 305.8 10112 33.1 78.2 36.0
cnChina 1328.6 6716 5.1 73.0 32.5
inIndia 1169.0 2809 2.4 64.7 23.8
jpJapan 128.0 3409 26.6 82.6 42.9
wwWhole World 6671.2 61258 9.2 67.2 28.0

Regions

For purposes of this article, I've divided Europe up into five regions:

Region Nations Population Total GDP
Centralde pl cz at ch sk li152.23956
Southwestfr it es pt mt ad mc sm gi va175.94990
Northwestgb nl be se dk fi no ie lt lv ee lu is je im gg fo ax124.63966
Northeastru ua by158.92020
Southeastro gr hu rs tr bg hr ba md al ko mk si cy me90.3977

The Southeast region, the Balkans, is smaller, poorer and more fragmented than the others, and should be considered a half-region. Were Turkey, Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan (all already members of the Council of Europe) to be considered European nations, they would complete the Southeast region.

Region Nations Population Total GDP
Southeast+ tr ge am az171.81571
Total54 C of E783.516155

The European Union

The EU unites about half of Europe in a loose alliance, offering a common market, common travel controls, free internal migration, and substantial cooperation in numerous domains. Thirteen of the 27 member nations (plus some other nations) also share a common currency, the Euro €, but coordination of foreign and security policy has yet to flourish. More importantly, integration of the private sector has barely begun, with very few transnational firms (e.g. whose management and board is not dominated by one nation) and little integration at the professional level. Lack of a common language is an important factor in this problem.

Euro membersat ax be de es fi fr gr ie it lu nl pt si
other Union membersbg cy cz dk ee gb gi hu lt lv mt pl ro se sk
other Euro usersad ko mc me sm va
other non membersal ba by ch fo gg hr im is je li md mk no rs ru tr ua

The Future

The rest of this article assumes that Northeast Europe (Russia, Ukraine and Belarus) and Asia Minor (Turkey, Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan) will remain outside of the European Union for the foreseeable future. However, I think most of the remaining European nations will join both the European Union and the Euro over the course of the next few years. Even those that may elect not to become formal members, such as Switzerland for the UE and Sweden for the Euro, will be considered members de facto if not de jure.

Union Regions Population Total GDP
Future EUC+SW+NW+SE543.013889

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© 2007-2008 Alivox www@alivox.net 8may08